一种基于时间序列模型的风速预测方法 |
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引用本文:Issac Armah Mensah,胡志刚,胡周军.一种基于时间序列模型的风速预测方法[J].计算技术与自动化,2010,(2):106-109 |
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中文摘要:根据风速数据特点,提出一种基于时间序列的风速预测模型,对模型中的相关参数进行确定。实验结果表明,对风速进行提前1小时预测时,预测风速与实际风速较吻合,误差仅为10%,从而为大气污染物浓度确定提供有效依据。 |
中文关键词:污染物扩散 时间序列 风速 预测 |
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An Approach for Wind Speed Forecasting Based on Time-series Model |
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Abstract:In this paper, an approach for wind speed forecasting based on time-series model is proposed according to the characteristics of the wind speed. The relevant parameters are determined in the model. The results show that the error between he actual wind speed and wind speed forecasting is 10% in wind speed for 1 hour advance forecasting. It provides an effective basis for atmospheric concentrations of pollutants. |
keywords:pollutant dispersion time-series wind speed forecasting |
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