| 哈尔滨机场雷暴分析预报系统的研制及应用 |
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| 引用本文：钟伟，黄红兵，赵凯，庞双双.哈尔滨机场雷暴分析预报系统的研制及应用[J].计算技术与自动化,2014,(1):106-110 |
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| 中文摘要:作者充分利用现有气象设备，采用多种高级编程语言，研制哈尔滨机场雷暴分析预报系统，其中利用现有气象信息网资源，实现初始数据自动读取和综合分析处理；采用相似分析技术，实现雷暴天气形势的自动相似判别；利用天气学方法和数理统计法，建立集成分析预报模式，实现0-24h雷暴概率短期预报；基于天气雷达回波，采用交叉相关算法，实现0-1h强对流临近预报预警。经应用表明，该系统运行及预报预警情况均达到了预期效果。 |
| 中文关键词:雷暴 预报系统 相似判别 短期预报 临近预报 |
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| The Development and Application of the Harbin Airport Thunderstorm Analyzing and Forecasting System |
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| Abstract:The study of the Harbin Airport Thunderstorm Analyzing and Forecasting System made full use of the existing meteorological equipments and a variety of high-level programming languages, for example: it can reading and analyzing the initial data automatically by using the meteorological information network, discriminating the thunderstorm weather situation automatically by using the analog discriminatory analysis method, issuing the 0-24h thunderstorm probability prediction which weights the established weather forecast model by using the synoptic forecasting and mathematical statistics method, issuing the 0-1h thunderstorm nowcasting and warning by using the cross-correlation method based on weather radar echoes. The application shows that the system operation and nowcasing and warning are achieved the desired effect. |
| keywords:thunderstorm forecasting system analog discriminatory analysis short-range forecasting nowcasting |
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